| Overall | 6W 10L 2T |
| District | 2W 5L 1T |
| Expected | 12: 0+ 6- |
":" = Games won or lost as expected,
"+" = Games won against stronger team,
"-" = Games lost against weaker team)
|
24 13 3 Rank in State, Class, District |
1119 72 Strength Momentum |
1073 41.6(55) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) | |
| Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/24/15 | at Manzano | 0.003 | 886 | T 1- 1 | Worse (-2) | 1012 | 75% |  |
| 08/26/15 | at Cibola | 0.004 | 1414 | L 0- 3 | Expected (0) | 1126 | 18% | |
| 08/29/15 | at Eldorado ? | 0.006 | 1070 | L 1- 4 | Worse (-3) | 954 | 54% | |
| 09/01/15 | Del Norte | 0.012 | 784 | W 2- 1 | Expected (-3) | 992 | 86% | |
| 09/03/15 | Highland ?? | 0.016 | 845 | L 0- 1 | Worse (-4) | 923 | 82% | |
| 09/12/15 | Valencia | 0.054 | 1241 | L 0- 2 | Expected (-1) | 1071 | 38% | |
| 09/15/15 | at Belen !! | 0.057 | 869 | W 5- 1 | Expected (+2) | 1205 | 75% | |
| 09/18/15 | Carlsbad | 0.125 | 1103 | L 1- 2 | Worse (-1) | 1052 | 55% | |
| 09/19/15 | Miyamura | 0.122 | 708 | W 3- 0 | Expected (-1) | 1055 | 90% | |
| 09/23/15 | Valley | 0.211 | 1076 | L 3- 4 | Worse (-2) | 1038 | 58% | |
| 09/26/15 | at Rio Grande | 0.279 | 936 | W 2- 1 | Expected (-1) | 1087 | 70% | |
| 10/01/15 | Del Norte ! | 0.309 | 784 | W 4- 0 | Expected (0) | 1143 | 86% | |
| 10/03/15 | Atrisco Heritage | 0.180 | 1338 | L 0- 6 | Expected (-4) | 915 | 27% | |
| 10/07/15 | at Albuquerque | 0.592 | 1399 | L 0- 2 | Expected (+1) | 1169 | 18% | |
| 10/10/15 | at Valley | 0.733 | 1076 | T 2- 2 | Worse (0) | 1107 | 53% | |
| 10/14/15 | Rio Grande | 0.845 | 936 | W 4- 3 | Expected (-1) | 1068 | 74% | |
| 10/22/15 | at Atrisco Heritage | 0.983 | 1338 | L 1- 2 | Expected (+1) | 1188 | 23% | |
| 10/23/15 | Albuquerque | 0.483 | 1399 | L 0- 5 | Expected (-2) | 997 | 21% | |
|
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals West Mesa actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1073, while
West Mesa's "weighted playing strength" is 1101
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.66 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)
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